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Red452
6342135.4
7058113.0
2056225.6
Blue303
2609160.6
6052118.2
3161139.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364292200400500452303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.68.3
191.1199.4
Auto28.2
Teleop158.7
End40.0
red by 65.0
2609
#11
160.60.9
155.1156.0
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
Second
6342
#15
135.41.1
138.8137.8
Auto19.6
Teleop97.3
End16.1
blue by 3.7
139.13.2
123.4126.6
Auto16.8
Teleop107.1
End14.5
Third
7058
#29
113.03.0
104.2107.2
Auto17.1
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 5.2
6052
#23
118.22.4
113.2115.6
Auto18.3
Teleop84.0
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed