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Red338
6331105.4
2056225.6
3161139.1
Blue279
4678159.4
4595108.3
5032136.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380260100200300500600338279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.67.3
199.4206.7
Auto28.2
Teleop158.7
End40.0
red by 66.1
4678
#10
159.40.7
153.3154.0
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End10.6
Second
139.13.3
126.6129.9
Auto16.8
Teleop107.1
End14.5
red by 2.3
5032
#13
136.92.2
129.5131.7
Auto15.8
Teleop107.8
End12.3
Third
6331
#22
105.41.1
109.9108.8
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
blue by 2.9
4595
#17
108.30.0
114.5114.5
Auto12.6
Teleop83.4
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed