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Red207
772171.6
7058113.0
5589121.7
Blue259
4678159.4
7022100.2
4704122.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330281100200400500600207259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#3
171.64.4
158.3162.8
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
red by 12.1
4678
#10
159.40.1
154.0154.2
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End10.6
Second
5589
#25
121.72.9
120.7123.6
Auto18.4
Teleop91.8
End8.3
blue by 1.1
4704
#12
122.80.5
123.5123.9
Auto19.3
Teleop94.3
End6.6
Third
7058
#29
113.01.2
110.6111.8
Auto17.1
Teleop86.0
End11.0
red by 12.7
7022
#19
100.22.3
97.199.4
Auto12.8
Teleop76.4
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed