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Red417
4248116.7
2609160.6
2852134.7
Blue187
1374132.1
6052118.2
772171.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293343100200400500600417187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#11
160.60.8
158.0158.8
Auto23.8
Teleop119.6
End15.6
blue by 11.0
772
#3
171.62.1
162.8164.9
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
Second
134.70.9
128.0128.9
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End15.8
red by 2.7
1374
#24
132.11.5
133.8135.3
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4
Third
4248
#28
116.70.0
113.7113.7
Auto17.0
Teleop89.6
End14.8
blue by 1.5
6052
#23
118.20.3
119.6119.2
Auto18.3
Teleop84.0
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed