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Red441
4595108.3
6331105.4
772171.6
Blue180
5589121.7
3739129.3
2702123.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3172780100200400500600441180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#3
171.61.7
166.1167.8
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
red by 42.3
3739
#16
129.30.7
130.6130.0
Auto16.4
Teleop97.5
End12.0
Second
4595
#17
108.31.2
109.4108.2
Auto12.6
Teleop83.4
End13.4
blue by 14.7
2702
#21
123.10.1
123.5123.4
Auto15.8
Teleop86.5
End20.4
Third
6331
#22
105.40.9
106.4105.4
Auto13.5
Teleop77.0
End18.2
blue by 16.2
5589
#25
121.71.1
122.8121.7
Auto18.4
Teleop91.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed