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Red509
1241217.8
2056225.6
4777110.3
Blue169
2852134.7
1334155.6
4814124.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4762300100300400600700800509169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225.60.6
223.6224.2
Auto28.2
Teleop158.7
End40.0
red by 69.9
155.60.4
154.9155.3
Auto18.6
Teleop112.9
End25.2
Second
217.80.4
216.6217.0
Auto24.7
Teleop165.7
End26.4
red by 83.1
134.70.4
134.1134.5
Auto17.0
Teleop102.8
End15.8
Third
4777
#18
110.30.2
109.8110.0
Auto18.5
Teleop79.0
End14.8
blue by 13.9
4814
#20
124.20.0
124.3124.3
Auto19.1
Teleop97.9
End7.5