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Red447
3683163.6
4917194.2
7058113.0
Blue279
4678159.4
772171.6
1374132.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348347250300400450447279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.20.5
192.5193.0
Auto27.5
Teleop136.7
End34.0
red by 22.6
772
#3
171.60.6
171.0171.6
Auto24.8
Teleop120.2
End29.3
Second
163.60.4
162.2162.6
Auto22.6
Teleop118.2
End25.2
red by 4.1
4678
#10
159.40.4
159.0159.4
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End10.6
Third
7058
#29
113.00.1
112.9112.9
Auto17.1
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 19.1
1374
#24
132.10.3
132.4132.1
Auto17.9
Teleop98.3
End16.4