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Red274
5505171.2
4936146.6
4405163.2
Blue467
33209.3
772199.5
6875113.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300415100200500600700274467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
171.20.5
170.3170.8
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
blue by 38.1
33
#4
209.30.4
208.5208.9
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
Second
4405
#20
163.20.2
163.6163.4
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
blue by 36.2
772
#2
199.50.7
198.1198.8
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
Third
146.60.0
146.7146.6
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
red by 33.4
6875
#23
113.20.5
112.3112.7
Auto16.3
Teleop82.8
End15.2