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Red491
33209.3
772199.5
6875113.2
Blue161
5885134.7
5426148.5
4595115.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4692130100300400600700491161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
209.30.5
206.5206.9
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
red by 60.8
5426
#11
148.50.5
147.6148.1
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
Second
772
#2
199.50.8
194.9195.7
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
red by 64.7
5885
#16
134.70.3
134.2134.5
Auto15.9
Teleop97.3
End25.1
Third
6875
#23
113.20.6
110.0110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop82.8
End15.2
blue by 2.5
4595
#21
115.60.2
116.0115.8
Auto12.6
Teleop91.6
End8.7