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Red361
865171.5
3538204.7
6725133.0
Blue90
6854109.6
6537113.2
6881105.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions451161010020030040050060070036190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204.70.5
202.9203.4
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
red by 91.5
113.20.4
112.5112.9
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
Second
865
#6
171.51.0
167.9168.9
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
red by 61.8
6854
#12
109.60.3
109.2109.5
Auto15.9
Teleop83.1
End11.8
Third
6725
#27
133.00.1
133.0133.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1
red by 28.0
6881
#15
105.00.1
104.8104.9
Auto17.1
Teleop82.3
End5.7