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Red422
4936146.6
610238.7
3538204.7
Blue216
5689118.8
4688125.6
772199.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4432430100200300400500600422216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
238.72.0
217.3219.3
Auto29.2
Teleop172.6
End39.4
red by 39.3
772
#2
199.52.8
176.0178.8
Auto28.8
Teleop140.1
End32.2
Second
204.70.2
194.3194.5
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
red by 79.1
4688
#24
125.66.2
106.8112.9
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
Third
146.68.7
111.6120.3
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
red by 27.8
5689
#22
118.83.9
113.4117.3
Auto16.5
Teleop88.9
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed