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Red380
5483113.1
4992138.8
4936146.6
Blue288
6992125.6
4405163.2
5426148.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333540100200300400500600380288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.65.9
120.3126.2
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
blue by 16.6
4405
#20
163.22.0
178.4176.4
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
Second
138.85.1
108.0113.1
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
blue by 9.7
5426
#11
148.53.8
126.1129.9
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
Third
5483
#25
113.11.0
97.796.7
Auto15.0
Teleop87.9
End10.8
blue by 12.5
6992
#14
125.64.8
103.6108.4
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed