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Red355
6875113.2
33209.3
6992125.6
Blue113
6537113.2
540896.6
4405163.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522580100200300400500355113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
209.31.3
200.9202.2
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
red by 46.1
4405
#20
163.21.4
176.4175.0
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
Second
6992
#14
125.63.9
108.4112.2
Auto16.0
Teleop88.4
End25.5
red by 12.4
113.20.3
110.7111.0
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
Third
6875
#23
113.20.8
107.1106.3
Auto16.3
Teleop82.8
End15.2
red by 16.6
5408
#34
96.60.5
100.7101.2
Auto16.9
Teleop80.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed