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Red179
4688125.6
6725133.0
6854109.6
Blue151
5505171.2
6881105.0
6331102.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543180100200400500600179151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6725
#27
133.02.8
125.2128.0
Auto17.2
Teleop101.3
End16.1
blue by 38.2
5505
#17
171.20.7
162.5163.2
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
Second
4688
#24
125.64.3
116.0120.3
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
red by 20.7
6881
#15
105.03.0
107.4110.4
Auto17.1
Teleop82.3
End5.7
Third
6854
#12
109.61.0
106.2105.2
Auto15.9
Teleop83.1
End11.8
red by 7.2
6331
#28
102.41.2
106.3107.5
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed