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Red189
490299.5
865171.5
4920118.2
Blue327
3538204.7
4595115.6
4405163.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2194060100300500600189327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#6
171.52.2
151.4153.6
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
blue by 33.2
204.72.0
195.8197.8
Auto24.6
Teleop160.3
End21.2
Second
4920
#19
118.20.0
115.5115.5
Auto17.0
Teleop88.8
End14.7
blue by 45.0
4405
#20
163.22.1
175.0173.0
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
Third
4902
#29
99.51.7
100.899.2
Auto14.0
Teleop76.7
End12.9
blue by 16.1
4595
#21
115.60.7
111.4112.1
Auto12.6
Teleop91.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed