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Red219
4992138.8
6537113.2
6202122.1
Blue449
4688125.6
5821122.2
5505171.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183360100300400500600219449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.86.3
120.2126.5
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
blue by 32.4
5505
#17
171.20.7
163.2162.5
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
Second
6202
#18
122.10.4
113.4113.8
Auto16.8
Teleop92.5
End12.8
blue by 3.6
4688
#24
125.62.5
120.3122.8
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
Third
113.22.2
111.0108.8
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
blue by 9.0
5821
#33
122.23.7
112.4116.1
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed