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Red299
5885134.7
5426148.5
4688125.6
Blue292
4938108.8
1114213.1
4940117.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493500100200300400500600299292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5426
#11
148.50.6
139.5140.0
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
blue by 64.6
213.10.5
212.4212.8
Auto27.2
Teleop158.0
End25.4
Second
5885
#16
134.71.2
134.2133.0
Auto15.9
Teleop97.3
End25.1
red by 17.7
4940
#26
117.12.1
121.0118.8
Auto19.0
Teleop89.7
End7.5
Third
4688
#24
125.60.1
126.7126.7
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
red by 16.8
4938
#31
108.80.6
116.4117.0
Auto17.4
Teleop82.7
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed