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Red109
6331102.4
5821122.2
4992138.8
Blue404
33209.3
6537113.2
5483113.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333620100200300400500600700109404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.80.8
136.5137.4
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
blue by 70.5
33
#4
209.30.6
203.6204.2
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
Second
5821
#33
122.22.1
120.5122.5
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
red by 9.0
113.21.0
107.9108.9
Auto15.7
Teleop87.8
End10.6
Third
6331
#28
102.41.2
107.1105.9
Auto15.4
Teleop71.9
End14.1
blue by 10.8
5483
#25
113.10.7
107.2107.8
Auto15.0
Teleop87.9
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed