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Red402
5288114.6
5426148.5
5505171.2
Blue302
3571120.5
4688125.6
33209.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803640100200400500600402302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
171.20.7
163.9164.6
Auto17.9
Teleop134.2
End21.9
blue by 38.1
33
#4
209.31.0
204.2205.2
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
Second
5426
#11
148.52.1
140.0142.1
Auto19.6
Teleop106.3
End25.5
red by 22.9
4688
#24
125.60.9
128.6127.7
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
Third
5288
#35
114.62.6
120.0117.4
Auto16.6
Teleop85.5
End10.7
blue by 5.9
3571
#13
120.51.0
118.4119.5
Auto15.9
Teleop95.6
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed