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Red405
4932121.9
1114213.1
3571120.5
Blue102
5821122.2
4595115.6
4936146.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902500100200300500600700405102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213.10.4
213.1213.5
Auto27.2
Teleop158.0
End25.4
red by 66.5
146.61.8
146.6148.5
Auto21.4
Teleop108.8
End18.1
Second
4932
#30
121.91.5
118.8120.3
Auto15.1
Teleop88.8
End22.2
blue by 0.2
5821
#33
122.20.5
122.9123.4
Auto17.3
Teleop88.6
End13.3
Third
3571
#13
120.50.2
119.5119.7
Auto15.9
Teleop95.6
End9.6
red by 4.9
4595
#21
115.61.8
114.0115.8
Auto12.6
Teleop91.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed