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Red494
33209.3
4405163.2
865171.5
Blue143
4688125.6
4938108.8
4992138.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4362370100200300400500600494143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
209.30.1
203.7203.6
Auto25.1
Teleop156.4
End30.2
red by 70.5
138.85.3
131.2136.5
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.9
Second
865
#6
171.52.0
155.2157.2
Auto22.1
Teleop124.5
End26.8
red by 45.8
4688
#24
125.61.9
126.7128.6
Auto19.0
Teleop97.6
End11.4
Third
4405
#20
163.21.3
170.9169.5
Auto22.1
Teleop121.4
End19.9
red by 54.4
4938
#31
108.80.1
117.0117.0
Auto17.4
Teleop82.7
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed