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Red280
957172.7
2411122.3
5975124.6
Blue289
2733145.0
2521129.0
3674164.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893260100200400500600700280289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#2
172.70.2
158.4158.2
Auto21.7
Teleop131.4
End21.7
red by 8.6
164.10.6
147.5148.1
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
Second
5975
#29
124.60.2
126.6126.4
Auto16.6
Teleop99.5
End7.5
blue by 20.5
2733
#23
145.01.0
146.3145.3
Auto22.5
Teleop109.5
End14.2
Third
2411
#16
122.30.3
119.5119.3
Auto14.9
Teleop92.7
End14.4
blue by 6.6
2521
#21
129.01.8
128.4130.1
Auto16.9
Teleop99.1
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed