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Red474
6343145.3
955115.7
2471186.8
Blue125
2521129.0
4692112.8
4110106.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3792060100300500600474125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.81.7
161.3163.0
Auto19.7
Teleop126.5
End44.9
red by 57.9
2521
#21
129.01.4
130.1131.5
Auto16.9
Teleop99.1
End13.7
Second
6343
#12
145.31.7
125.0126.7
Auto20.9
Teleop105.3
End20.2
red by 32.6
4692
#18
112.80.0
107.1107.1
Auto17.4
Teleop85.4
End11.4
Third
955
#24
115.70.5
120.8120.3
Auto14.5
Teleop87.0
End12.7
red by 9.1
4110
#30
106.60.6
98.298.8
Auto15.7
Teleop79.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed