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Red276
1359116.5
2811202.9
7034141.7
Blue377
2635168.0
3636118.2
6465130.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3552740100200400500600276377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#11
202.90.6
200.0200.6
Auto22.9
Teleop164.9
End16.3
red by 34.9
168.01.5
160.2161.7
Auto22.0
Teleop129.7
End14.3
Second
7034
#19
141.71.4
127.8129.2
Auto18.7
Teleop95.9
End26.4
red by 11.1
6465
#15
130.62.1
122.3124.4
Auto16.2
Teleop100.1
End15.7
Third
1359
#22
116.50.8
115.5114.7
Auto15.6
Teleop90.0
End10.9
blue by 1.7
3636
#33
118.20.7
112.4113.0
Auto17.8
Teleop88.9
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed