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Red233
1359116.5
4110106.6
3674164.1
Blue277
1571119.6
997151.4
2521129.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803370100200400500600700233277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.11.7
149.8151.5
Auto17.9
Teleop115.7
End33.0
red by 12.7
997
#10
151.40.7
150.2150.9
Auto18.9
Teleop119.3
End14.4
Second
1359
#22
116.50.3
114.1114.4
Auto15.6
Teleop90.0
End10.9
blue by 12.4
2521
#21
129.00.5
131.9131.5
Auto16.9
Teleop99.1
End13.7
Third
4110
#30
106.60.9
98.799.6
Auto15.7
Teleop79.3
End13.6
blue by 13.0
1571
#17
119.61.7
109.0110.7
Auto19.1
Teleop91.9
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed