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Red441
997151.4
957172.7
4662142.7
Blue250
4057135.1
5198108.8
1571119.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4062100100300500600700441250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#2
172.71.2
159.7160.9
Auto21.7
Teleop131.4
End21.7
red by 37.5
4057
#13
135.10.7
131.6132.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.4
End16.6
Second
997
#10
151.40.5
150.6151.1
Auto18.9
Teleop119.3
End14.4
red by 31.8
1571
#17
119.61.2
111.9113.1
Auto19.1
Teleop91.9
End10.6
Third
4662
#14
142.70.3
139.1139.4
Auto16.8
Teleop107.3
End17.8
red by 33.9
5198
#27
108.80.2
106.2106.4
Auto13.8
Teleop82.3
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed