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Red176
1510140.6
2733144.3
3131112.4
Blue468
6831140.1
4662127.2
2374125.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953110100200400500600700176468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.30.6
143.2143.8
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
red by 4.2
6831
#12
140.10.7
136.9137.7
Auto17.2
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Second
140.60.5
139.7140.2
Auto16.6
Teleop106.4
End18.3
red by 13.4
127.20.2
125.8126.1
Auto15.6
Teleop99.6
End13.5
Third
3131
#24
112.40.2
112.9112.7
Auto14.0
Teleop89.0
End9.2
blue by 12.6
2374
#22
125.00.5
122.8123.2
Auto18.9
Teleop94.7
End13.5