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Red75
695993.7
4132101.8
4125133.9
Blue281
2550130.2
2733144.3
4692111.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268299010020040050060070075281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#21
133.914.0
93.2107.1
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
blue by 10.4
144.316.5
69.986.4
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
Second
4132
#33
101.816.6
69.586.0
Auto13.8
Teleop79.5
End9.3
blue by 28.4
2550
#23
130.213.5
97.7111.1
Auto22.5
Teleop92.7
End15.5
Third
6959
#30
93.716.0
93.877.7
Auto12.8
Teleop76.9
End4.1
blue by 18.1
4692
#26
111.915.5
78.794.2
Auto14.8
Teleop87.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed