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Red150
6465118.0
4132101.8
143298.8
Blue425
2046202.5
289897.6
5803159.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1813500100300400500600150425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#18
118.05.5
99.3104.8
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
blue by 84.5
202.59.2
141.0150.2
Auto26.4
Teleop148.3
End28.4
Second
4132
#33
101.84.1
98.7102.7
Auto13.8
Teleop79.5
End9.3
blue by 57.4
159.24.9
127.2132.0
Auto26.1
Teleop119.6
End12.3
Third
1432
#29
98.80.3
103.7103.4
Auto15.7
Teleop78.2
End2.5
red by 1.1
2898
#34
97.61.7
98.6100.3
Auto13.7
Teleop78.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed