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Red136
4692111.9
367388.6
3674146.9
Blue381
753130.7
2811175.3
5975127.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260311100200400500136381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#11
146.92.0
138.5140.5
Auto16.6
Teleop106.0
End25.7
blue by 28.4
175.38.7
131.0139.7
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
Second
4692
#26
111.94.3
117.3121.6
Auto14.8
Teleop87.5
End9.9
blue by 18.9
753
#16
130.73.2
117.3120.4
Auto16.0
Teleop99.2
End14.3
Third
3673
#31
88.60.1
94.995.0
Auto11.1
Teleop66.6
End11.1
blue by 38.6
5975
#14
127.21.8
112.3114.0
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed