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Red210
143298.8
1510140.6
289897.6
Blue334
1540144.0
4132101.8
6445129.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402820100200400500210334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.67.1
115.2122.3
Auto16.6
Teleop106.4
End18.3
blue by 3.4
144.01.9
131.9133.7
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
Second
1432
#29
98.83.5
101.798.1
Auto15.7
Teleop78.2
End2.5
blue by 30.7
6445
#17
129.51.4
119.0120.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
Third
2898
#34
97.61.1
104.4105.5
Auto13.7
Teleop78.2
End7.0
blue by 4.1
4132
#33
101.80.7
104.0103.3
Auto13.8
Teleop79.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed