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Red150
5970126.6
5975127.2
4127108.1
Blue238
6465118.0
1540144.0
6696121.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285283150200250300350150238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5975
#14
127.215.7
77.693.3
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
blue by 16.8
144.013.5
98.0111.5
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
Second
5970
#28
126.613.7
95.8109.5
Auto16.0
Teleop102.5
End4.9
red by 4.8
6696
#13
121.716.5
70.186.6
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End12.3
Third
4127
#27
108.117.4
62.079.4
Auto17.1
Teleop79.5
End13.6
blue by 10.0
6465
#18
118.016.9
66.483.3
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed