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Red354
2733144.3
6465118.0
6445129.5
Blue73
597788.8
3674146.9
5975127.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28628810020025030035035473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.30.7
135.3136.0
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
blue by 2.6
3674
#11
146.92.3
144.4146.7
Auto16.6
Teleop106.0
End25.7
Second
6445
#17
129.50.9
122.0122.9
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
red by 2.2
5975
#14
127.22.9
124.7127.6
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
Third
6465
#18
118.00.1
107.9107.7
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
red by 29.2
5977
#36
88.82.2
99.697.4
Auto13.1
Teleop72.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed