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Red196
4127108.1
597788.8
6445129.5
Blue429
2733144.3
4125133.9
508599.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229325100200400500196429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6445
#17
129.52.5
122.9125.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End11.9
blue by 14.8
144.32.4
136.0138.4
Auto21.8
Teleop109.1
End12.4
Second
4127
#27
108.12.0
113.3111.3
Auto17.1
Teleop79.5
End13.6
blue by 25.9
4125
#21
133.90.4
128.7129.1
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
Third
5977
#36
88.83.3
97.494.1
Auto13.1
Teleop72.0
End0.8
blue by 11.0
5085
#35
99.81.5
100.498.9
Auto15.0
Teleop79.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed