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Red109
3711145.5
6845124.7
720494.4
Blue370
2811175.3
2374125.0
6465118.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247339100200300400500600109370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.51.7
143.4145.1
Auto19.5
Teleop107.1
End19.9
blue by 29.8
175.32.6
166.5169.1
Auto22.8
Teleop130.6
End20.1
Second
6845
#15
124.70.6
124.1124.7
Auto16.9
Teleop93.3
End14.5
blue by 0.3
2374
#22
125.00.7
121.0121.7
Auto18.9
Teleop94.7
End13.5
Third
7204
#25
94.40.2
94.694.4
Auto15.3
Teleop78.1
End1.0
blue by 23.6
6465
#18
118.01.9
113.1115.0
Auto14.9
Teleop94.4
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed