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Red289
5468145.4
4125133.9
5975127.2
Blue432
2046202.5
1540144.0
4513180.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473460100200300400500600700289432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#10
145.412.4
102.2114.6
Auto18.2
Teleop108.7
End16.3
blue by 57.1
202.511.3
119.6131.0
Auto26.4
Teleop148.3
End28.4
Second
4125
#21
133.95.2
107.1112.4
Auto15.4
Teleop104.0
End13.1
blue by 47.0
180.912.4
103.0115.4
Auto21.8
Teleop133.8
End25.2
Third
5975
#14
127.28.0
93.3101.3
Auto16.7
Teleop100.0
End9.7
blue by 16.8
144.07.8
111.5119.3
Auto20.2
Teleop113.9
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed