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Red297
2471157.0
1425184.9
1359118.1
Blue269
2990174.9
957157.9
3024107.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367291100200400500297269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.90.4
184.6184.9
Auto21.2
Teleop127.8
End36.9
red by 10.0
174.90.1
175.0174.9
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
Second
157.00.5
156.5157.0
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
blue by 0.9
957
#2
157.90.1
157.8157.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
Third
1359
#27
118.10.0
118.1118.1
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
red by 10.4
3024
#21
107.70.1
107.8107.7
Auto15.1
Teleop83.1
End6.4