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Red211
847138.2
7034122.6
4309132.3
Blue418
2521124.0
1540153.8
6845122.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307319100200400500600211418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
847
#10
138.20.1
138.4138.3
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
blue by 15.5
153.80.6
151.1151.7
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
Second
4309
#14
132.30.1
132.5132.4
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
red by 8.3
2521
#18
124.00.9
120.5121.3
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End13.2
Third
122.60.8
121.0121.9
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
red by 0.5
6845
#25
122.10.4
120.1120.5
Auto16.9
Teleop95.2
End11.3