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Red281
2635155.5
2374135.4
5295119.7
Blue178
6445137.6
997148.8
6443130.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31732202004006008001,000281178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.50.6
153.8154.4
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
red by 6.7
997
#9
148.80.1
148.7148.8
Auto17.4
Teleop118.5
End12.0
Second
135.40.4
134.3134.7
Auto22.5
Teleop100.9
End11.4
blue by 2.2
6445
#13
137.60.3
137.3137.6
Auto16.9
Teleop109.5
End8.3
Third
5295
#29
119.70.1
119.5119.6
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8
blue by 11.1
6443
#20
130.90.2
131.1130.9
Auto16.2
Teleop102.5
End12.9