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Red290
2990174.9
955124.6
413297.8
Blue55
4057135.7
7034122.6
411096.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26827210015020025030035040045029055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.911.5
111.3122.8
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
red by 39.3
4057
#23
135.710.2
106.4116.6
Auto20.2
Teleop97.5
End21.2
Second
955
#32
124.63.3
120.6123.9
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
red by 2.0
122.68.5
91.9100.4
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
Third
4132
#22
97.80.3
101.6101.3
Auto13.8
Teleop77.8
End6.2
red by 1.5
4110
#34
96.37.2
90.797.9
Auto15.6
Teleop77.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed