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Red195
7034122.6
4488160.1
405190.7
Blue378
6445137.6
847138.2
1540153.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280310100150200250350400450195378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
160.14.0
151.0155.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.6
End23.5
red by 6.4
153.80.9
145.8146.7
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
Second
122.61.6
113.2114.8
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
blue by 15.6
847
#10
138.23.3
124.2127.5
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
Third
4051
#31
90.70.2
91.090.7
Auto13.2
Teleop71.8
End4.5
blue by 46.9
6445
#13
137.60.8
130.1130.9
Auto16.9
Teleop109.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed