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Red251
367394.8
6696132.2
6343122.9
Blue271
2471157.0
957157.9
1359118.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221402100300500600700251271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6696
#17
132.21.4
127.4128.7
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End15.0
blue by 25.6
957
#2
157.94.3
148.9153.2
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
Second
6343
#26
122.90.1
121.0121.2
Auto14.7
Teleop92.0
End17.3
blue by 34.1
157.01.8
149.9151.7
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
Third
3673
#30
94.81.2
91.192.3
Auto13.3
Teleop69.5
End13.7
blue by 23.2
1359
#27
118.11.5
115.1116.6
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned