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Red455
7034122.6
1425184.9
3636109.8
Blue176
5085121.8
5295119.7
5748115.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377249100200300500600700455176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.93.0
174.7177.7
Auto21.2
Teleop127.8
End36.9
red by 63.1
5085
#16
121.81.8
116.4118.2
Auto17.1
Teleop95.6
End9.8
Second
122.61.5
115.1116.6
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
red by 2.8
5295
#29
119.71.3
117.4118.7
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8
Third
3636
#24
109.81.4
104.9106.4
Auto16.0
Teleop81.3
End13.1
blue by 5.7
5748
#35
115.50.2
114.9115.1
Auto19.5
Teleop87.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed