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Qual 62018 PNW District Wilsonville Event
Red421
997148.8
2990174.9
7034122.6
Blue71
6696132.2
4043104.3
3024107.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29929110015020025035040042171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#4
174.913.5
97.8→111.3
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
red by 42.7
6696
#17
132.21.5
121.7→123.2
Auto17.6
Teleop100.6
End15.0
Second
997
#9
148.813.4
98.6→112.0
Auto17.4
Teleop118.5
End12.0
red by 41.1
3024
#21
107.714.1
92.0→106.1
Auto15.1
Teleop83.1
End6.4
Third
7034
#7
122.666.2
143.9→77.7
Auto14.0
Teleop93.5
End19.5
red by 18.3
4043
#36
104.315.5
79.3→94.8
Auto13.6
Teleop79.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed