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Red375
2521124.0
405190.7
2374135.4
Blue254
4057135.7
1540153.8
4309132.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218369100300400500600375254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.40.0
131.7131.6
Auto22.5
Teleop100.9
End11.4
blue by 18.3
153.81.2
148.3149.6
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
Second
2521
#18
124.01.7
113.7115.4
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End13.2
blue by 11.6
4057
#23
135.73.0
129.9132.8
Auto20.2
Teleop97.5
End21.2
Third
4051
#31
90.70.8
90.289.4
Auto13.2
Teleop71.8
End4.5
blue by 41.6
4309
#14
132.31.5
130.9132.5
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed