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Red183
955124.6
1359118.1
3636109.8
Blue264
957157.9
3024107.7
405190.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277309150200250350400450500183264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#32
124.60.3
124.3124.6
Auto13.6
Teleop92.3
End18.6
blue by 33.2
957
#2
157.91.2
155.7156.9
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
Second
1359
#27
118.10.9
117.2118.2
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
red by 10.4
3024
#21
107.70.4
107.6108.0
Auto15.1
Teleop83.1
End6.4
Third
3636
#24
109.81.1
108.6109.8
Auto16.0
Teleop81.3
End13.1
red by 19.0
4051
#31
90.70.9
89.890.7
Auto13.2
Teleop71.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed