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Red256
2635155.5
3636109.8
847138.2
Blue265
4309132.3
4127114.0
6845122.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112470100200400500600700256265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.59.1
102.7111.8
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
red by 23.2
4309
#14
132.312.4
89.4101.8
Auto16.2
Teleop98.0
End21.1
Second
847
#10
138.28.3
93.7102.1
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End9.2
red by 16.2
6845
#25
122.11.5
124.4122.9
Auto16.9
Teleop95.2
End11.3
Third
3636
#24
109.88.5
92.9101.4
Auto16.0
Teleop81.3
End13.1
blue by 4.3
4127
#12
114.00.1
107.9107.8
Auto17.8
Teleop82.5
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed