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Red378
2471157.0
1425184.9
1359118.1
Blue292
2521124.0
1540153.8
6845122.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394268100200300500600700378292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.90.5
183.3183.8
Auto21.2
Teleop127.8
End36.9
red by 31.2
153.80.7
152.4153.1
Auto19.2
Teleop123.0
End13.1
Second
157.00.6
154.9155.5
Auto15.2
Teleop110.1
End34.4
red by 32.9
2521
#18
124.00.9
122.3123.1
Auto15.4
Teleop94.7
End13.2
Third
1359
#27
118.10.0
118.2118.2
Auto13.3
Teleop92.3
End11.5
blue by 4.0
6845
#25
122.10.5
121.0121.5
Auto16.9
Teleop95.2
End11.3