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Semifinal 2-22018 PNW District Wilsonville Event
Red358
2990174.9
957157.9
3024107.7
Blue271
2635155.5
2374135.4
5295119.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357290100200400500600358271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#4
174.90.0
174.9→174.9
Auto26.7
Teleop133.0
End11.4
red by 19.4
2635
#5
155.50.5
155.0→155.5
Auto21.0
Teleop113.7
End19.3
Second
957
#2
157.90.2
157.4→157.6
Auto19.9
Teleop118.1
End17.4
red by 22.4
2374
#3
135.40.3
135.1→135.4
Auto22.5
Teleop100.9
End11.4
Third
3024
#21
107.70.0
107.8→107.7
Auto15.1
Teleop83.1
End6.4
blue by 12.1
5295
#29
119.70.1
119.7→119.7
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End16.8