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Red136
217197.8
4028180.6
5740139.3
Blue299
5842157.6
5811140.2
3260144.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423291100200500600700136299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#3
197.80.5
197.1197.6
Auto19.6
Teleop145.5
End33.0
red by 40.2
5842
#14
157.60.4
156.2156.6
Auto19.2
Teleop119.1
End18.4
Second
180.60.9
179.2180.1
Auto19.2
Teleop132.4
End31.3
red by 36.0
3260
#13
144.70.7
142.2142.9
Auto16.5
Teleop108.3
End20.2
Third
5740
#27
139.30.4
138.8139.2
Auto19.1
Teleop99.0
End21.4
blue by 0.9
5811
#12
140.20.3
139.3139.6
Auto15.3
Teleop104.8
End18.9